Asia-Pacific's Forged Stainless Steel Bar Market to See Slight Growth with +0.2% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - News and Statistics - IndexBox

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IndexBox has just published a new report: Asia-Pacific - Forged Bars Of Stainless Steel - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The article discusses the anticipated increase in consumption of forged stainless steel bar in Asia-Pacific, with a forecasted CAGR of +0.2% for volume and +0.9% for value from 2024 to 2035. The market is expected to experience a slight upward trend, reaching 2.2M tons in volume and $7.5B in value by the end of 2035.

Driven by rising demand for forged stainless steel bar in Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.2% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.2M tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +0.9% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $7.5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

In 2024, consumption of forged bars of stainless steel decreased by -0.6% to 2.1M tons, falling for the sixth consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, consumption reached the maximum volume at 2.3M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2024, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The size of the forged stainless steel bar market in Asia-Pacific contracted to $6.8B in 2024, shrinking by -8.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $7.9B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The country with the largest volume of forged stainless steel bar consumption was China (1.1M tons), accounting for 54% of total volume. Moreover, forged stainless steel bar consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (477K tons), twofold. Vietnam (79K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 3.7% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: India (+0.0% per year) and Vietnam (-1.4% per year).

In value terms, China ($3.4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by India ($1.4B). It was followed by Japan.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value in China was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: India (-0.2% per year) and Japan (-2.9% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of forged stainless steel bar per capita consumption in 2024 were Taiwan (Chinese) (2.4 kg per person), Malaysia (1.5 kg per person) and South Korea (1.3 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by China (with a CAGR of -0.2%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced a decline in the per capita consumption figures.

In 2024, production of forged bars of stainless steel decreased by -0.8% to 2.1M tons, falling for the fifth year in a row after three years of growth. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 4.2% against the previous year. The volume of production peaked at 2.3M tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, forged stainless steel bar production shrank to $6.9B in 2024 estimated in export price. Overall, production saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 15%. The level of production peaked at $8.2B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

China (1.1M tons) remains the largest forged stainless steel bar producing country in Asia-Pacific, comprising approx. 54% of total volume. Moreover, forged stainless steel bar production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (538K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Japan (78K tons), with a 3.6% share.

In China, forged stainless steel bar production remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+1.1% per year) and Japan (-2.7% per year).

In 2024, purchases abroad of forged bars of stainless steel decreased by -4.6% to 64K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, imports continue to indicate a pronounced descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when imports increased by 17%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at 112K tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, forged stainless steel bar imports fell to $263M in 2024. Overall, imports continue to indicate a mild decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $342M in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

South Korea (12K tons), China (10K tons), Singapore (8.1K tons) and Indonesia (5.7K tons) represented roughly 56% of total imports in 2024. It was distantly followed by Thailand (3.5K tons), Malaysia (3.5K tons) and Vietnam (3.4K tons), together making up a 16% share of total imports. The following importers - Taiwan (Chinese) (2.8K tons), India (2.8K tons) and the Philippines (2.4K tons) - each amounted to a 12% share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Taiwan (Chinese) (with a CAGR of +7.7%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($61M), South Korea ($55M) and Singapore ($30M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, together comprising 56% of total imports. India, Malaysia, Thailand, Taiwan (Chinese), Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.

Taiwan (Chinese), with a CAGR of +8.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, the import price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $4,100 per ton, leveling off at the previous year. Import price indicated a slight expansion from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, forged stainless steel bar import price increased by +22.5% against 2021 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the import price increased by 26% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum at $4,134 per ton in 2023, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was India ($7,922 per ton), while Indonesia ($1,840 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+5.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas shipments of forged bars of stainless steel, when their volume decreased by -7.3% to 91K tons. Total exports indicated pronounced growth from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 67%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 110K tons. From 2020 to 2024, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, forged stainless steel bar exports declined to $286M in 2024. In general, exports, however, posted a measured expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 76%. The level of export peaked at $384M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

India was the key exporter of forged bars of stainless steel in Asia-Pacific, with the volume of exports finishing at 63K tons, which was approx. 69% of total exports in 2024. China (14K tons) held a 15% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Taiwan (Chinese) (7.7%). The following exporters - Singapore (2.2K tons) and Japan (1.4K tons) - each recorded a 4% share of total exports.

India was also the fastest-growing in terms of the forged bars of stainless steel exports, with a CAGR of +17.7% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, China (+5.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, Taiwan (Chinese) (-2.1%), Japan (-4.6%) and Singapore (-18.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of India (+55 p.p.) and China (+4.4 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of Japan (-1.8 p.p.), Taiwan (Chinese) (-4.7 p.p.) and Singapore (-27.8 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, India ($179M) remains the largest forged stainless steel bar supplier in Asia-Pacific, comprising 63% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($40M), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Taiwan (Chinese), with an 11% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value in India totaled +17.2%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+3.9% per year) and Taiwan (Chinese) (-0.4% per year).

In 2024, the export price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $3,127 per ton, reducing by -8% against the previous year. Export price indicated temperate growth from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, forged stainless steel bar export price decreased by -20.8% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the export price increased by 30% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $3,947 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Singapore ($6,274 per ton), while India ($2,828 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Singapore (+14.1%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the market for forged stainless steel bar in Asia-Pacific. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

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